Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 168.363415 195.524798 226.996145 266.474316 315.119836 373.689315 4.504448e+02
2025-07-06 130.796738 164.071135 206.733135 266.603928 350.393036 466.573632 6.456486e+02
2025-07-13 115.164301 152.697769 204.533778 283.804329 406.660033 598.583365 9.409414e+02
2025-07-20 105.666735 146.514889 206.475302 305.097511 472.314785 763.884286 1.363869e+03
2025-07-27 94.399198 135.343672 198.287287 307.854137 507.537128 889.223894 1.780252e+03
2025-08-03 86.615248 127.945316 194.186049 315.683270 552.802611 1048.885613 2.368486e+03
2025-08-10 78.869618 119.365119 186.528018 315.231622 581.623226 1185.454130 2.999870e+03
2025-08-17 73.095873 113.159891 181.782374 318.916194 619.583335 1358.622716 3.886465e+03
2025-08-24 67.583267 106.668006 175.495096 318.177064 647.523496 1519.751025 4.901977e+03
2025-08-31 62.895824 101.038768 169.943133 317.762111 676.092608 1697.020255 6.202160e+03
2025-09-07 59.686369 97.653802 168.091388 324.777130 725.221825 1962.726548 8.319794e+03
2025-09-14 54.584407 90.305323 157.662462 310.893684 715.752421 2034.286747 9.543622e+03
2025-09-21 50.876429 85.534345 152.450421 309.776098 746.608808 2288.289692 1.265942e+04
2025-09-28 47.550496 81.197347 147.676499 309.146357 780.478301 2588.844581 1.723267e+04
2025-10-05 46.400783 80.905964 151.238029 329.869320 889.236335 3313.981551 2.974885e+04
2025-10-12 45.640467 81.274979 156.249312 355.697331 1028.823155 4374.454668 5.766235e+04
2025-10-19 43.325009 78.228603 153.224885 359.048513 1090.521787 5103.462279 9.238738e+04
2025-10-26 41.622596 76.271632 152.415583 368.577128 1182.043790 6183.456265 1.701788e+05
2025-11-02 39.471246 73.154068 148.473600 368.027075 1232.870600 7077.966082 2.912842e+05
2025-11-09 37.792150 70.893464 146.304862 372.515647 1309.635051 8369.390830 5.920750e+05
2025-11-16 35.975051 68.167926 142.663646 371.615004 1362.200332 9587.569351 1.217174e+06
2025-11-23 34.330002 65.683024 139.336121 371.109427 1417.985238 11025.608608 2.940223e+06
2025-11-30 33.228399 64.321206 138.708105 379.661358 1528.004590 13534.692287 1.354489e+07